See, the iPhone 16 begins at $800, packing a 6.1-inch 60Hz display screen, a really conservative dimension battery, two cameras, and the A18 with 8GB of RAM SoC combo “obligatory” to run Apple Intelligence.
And should you’ve been following the leaks and rumors intently, you’d know the iPhone SE 4 is mainly portrait as the identical cellphone however with a single digicam – effectively, and a notch as a substitute of the Dynamic Island – should you care.
The 2025 iPhone SE is even anticipated to realize the controversial Digital camera Management key, which even my €1,450 iPhone 15 Professional Max doesn’t have (which is why it doesn’t get Visible Intelligence).
I suppose you’ll be able to see why I’d be very pleasantly shocked (to say the least) if Apple was to present us the iPhone SE 4 at a whopping $300 lower than the iPhone 16, when the 2 are anticipated to be 95% the identical cellphone. Even the cameras on the iPhone SE 4 are stated to be similar to these from the iPhone 16 – 48MP rear and 12MP entrance.
So, what if…
iPhone SE 4 renders present a single 48MP digicam and a 6.1-inch display screen.
However, the purpose is to make a prediction about the place the heck the iPhone SE 4 goes to slot in Apple’s 2025 iPhone lineup.
Proper now, this one is made out of the traditional iPhone SE 3, iPhone 14, iPhone 15, iPhone 16, and iPhone 16 Professional sequence, and two of those iPhones occur to be just about inconceivable to advocate to anyone – in fact, I’m speaking in regards to the iPhone SE 3 and iPhone 14, which fall far behind what the iPhone 15 and iPhone 16 can do.
And whereas the iPhone SE 3 will naturally (lastly!) be taken care of by the arrival of the iPhone SE 4, one weird iPhone alternative would possibly nonetheless be lurking round Apple’s 2025 lineup – the iPhone 14. And I discover this so onerous to justify, that I truly assume it may not occur.
Good and straightforward – this could give individuals a alternative of 4 vanilla iPhones, and two iPhone 16 Professional fashions, and selection is all the time good.If this state of affairs was to play out, the iPhone 14 would probably retain its $600 price ticket, which is $500 greater than the rumored worth of the iPhone SE 4. And that’s the place I see the primary main trace that this will’t be Apple’s precise plan. However I’ll get to that in a bit…
Now, that’s the opposite (apparent) state of affairs, and one I feel is probably, or at the very least makes essentially the most sense to me.
To be clear, the explanation I say the iPhone SE 4 might “successfully” substitute the iPhone 14 is as a result of the iPhone SE 4 isn’t the iPhone 14’s successor on paper. Nevertheless, this isn’t how issues work out in apply.
In different phrases, the iPhone SE 4 is predicted to have greater than sufficient upgrades over the iPhone 14 that it’s beginning to seem like a cellphone that may simply substitute Apple’s 2022 flagship within the 2025 iPhone lineup.
And the third potential final result is maybe essentially the most unconventional state of affairs, however one I imagine additionally occurs to make a ton of sense.
In different phrases, if Apple *actually, actually* wished to maintain the iPhone 14 in its 2025 lineup (for causes I wouldn’t perceive), there’s an opportunity the iPhone SE 4 and iPhone 14 can mainly swap locations, or relatively costs.
In apply, this could imply the iPhone 14 would drop all the way down to $500 from $600, and the noticeably extra superior iPhone SE 4 would begin at a hefty (for an SE mannequin) $600.
The explanation this final result makes much more sense than the reversed worth distinction is as a result of it’d be way more worthwhile for Apple, and it wouldn’t be in any respect unjustified. iPhone customers would fortunately pay $600 for an iPhone SE with the newest and best AI tips, a greater digicam, and a much more superior chip relatively than save $100 to get the iPhone 14, which they’ll get on eBay for some $350.
The iPhone 14 has to go.
All in all, the one downgrade on the iPhone SE 4 could be the dearth of an ultra-wide-angle digicam, which the iPhone 14 has. However whereas I really like this snapper, I doubt many individuals are going to look previous the iPhone SE 4’s improve record, and select the iPhone 14 for that function alone.
Apple might completely ask $600 for the iPhone SE 4.
I simply assume the iPhone 14 merely has to go because it doesn’t have the {hardware} to compete with any iPhone or Android in 2025 – even mid-range telephones that value greater than $500. And the iPhone SE 4 seems to be like the proper event to retire the traditional iPhone 14 (and iPhone SE 3).
Actually, I’ll go not one however two steps farther – I extremely doubt the iPhone 15 and even the iPhone 16 will have the ability to compete with the iPhone SE 4 by way of sheer worth, which is why I imagine many individuals will find yourself going with the SE till the extra intriguing iPhone 17 lineup reveals up – with the “iPhone Slim”, and the iPhone 17 with its rumored “groundbreaking” 120Hz show.
Now, the largest query that is still unanswered (should you ask me) is in regards to the worth of the iPhone SE 4. As I stated within the intro, all of the rumors level in direction of a $500 beginning worth, which sounds fairly nice contemplating the limitless record of upgrades in comparison with the iPhone SE 3, and even the iPhone 14.
Nevertheless, it’s precisely the substantial record of upgrades, and Apple’s whole lack of generosity that make me doubt the iPhone SE 4 will probably be a $500 cellphone. I simply don’t see it, particularly since Apple places such excessive worth on Apple Intelligence, refusing to present sure/any AI options to telephones like my iPhone 15 Professional Max and the iPhone 15, which value as much as $700 greater than the rumored $500 worth of the iPhone SE 4 – anticipated to have the identical AI tips because the $1,200 iPhone 16 Professional.
I say there is a 70% probability the iPhone 14 will go bye-bye when the iPhone SE 4 breaks cowl,, and I’ll depart a 30% probability to the state of affairs the place they swap locations/ costs.
What’s your “educated guess”?
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